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Prognostic Factors in Patients With Recurrent Neuroblastoma

Source: Neuroblastoma Treatment (PDQ®)–Health Professional Version, National Cancer Institute.

Source updated: April 28, 2025 · Captured 2026-09-09.

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Context: Treatment of Recurrent or Refractory Neuroblastoma

A comprehensive analysis of the patterns of relapse was conducted using the International Neuroblastoma Risk Group (INRG) database on patients diagnosed/enrolled between 1989 and 2017.[14][Level of evidence C1]

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For 1,833 children, the pattern of first relapse included isolated local (19%), distant only (65%), and combined sites (16%).

Patients with isolated local failure had more favorable prognostic features.

Patients with stage 3 disease were more likely to have isolated local failure than patients with all other stages (49% vs. 16%, P < .001).

The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates significantly differed by relapse pattern, with a rate of 64% for isolated local, 23% for distant only, and 26% for combined sites (P < .001).

After controlling for age, stage, and MYCN status, patients with isolated local failure (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.46; P < .001) and distant-only failure (adjusted HR, 0.57; P < .001) remained at decreased risk of death, compared with patients with combined failure.

The INRG database was used to examine clinical and biological features that are prognostic of survival after relapse or progression of INRG Staging System (INRGSS) stage MS pattern neuroblastoma. Of the 1,511 patients diagnosed between 1984 and 2021 who met the eligibility criteria, 209 patients were identified as having an event. Eligibility criteria included patients younger than 365 days at initial diagnosis with INRGSS stage MS disease or with International Neuroblastoma Staging System (INSS) stage 4S, or patients aged 365 to 546 days with INSS stage 4 disease and metastasis limited to the liver, skin, and/or bone marrow.[15][Level of evidence C1]

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In this group, the median time to first event was 8.16 months.

Most relapses had a component of metastatic failure. These metastases more commonly occurred at sites outside of the liver, skin, and bone marrow.

The 5-year OS rate was 62% for patients treated in 2001 and later.

The International Neuroblastoma Risk Group Project performed a survival-tree analysis of clinical and biological characteristics (defined at diagnosis) associated with survival after relapse in 2,266 patients with neuroblastoma entered in large clinical trials in well-established clinical trials groups around the world.[8] The survival-tree analysis revealed the following:

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The OS rate was 20% in the entire population with relapsed disease.

Among patients with all stages of disease at diagnosis, MYCN amplification predicted a poorer prognosis, measured as 5-year OS.

Among patients diagnosed with INSS stage 4 without MYCN amplification, age older than 18 months and high lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level predicted poor prognosis.

Among patients with MYCN amplification, those diagnosed with stage 1 and stage 2 disease had a better prognosis than those diagnosed with stage 3 and stage 4 disease.

Among patients with MYCN-nonamplified tumors who were not stage 4, patients with hyperdiploidy had a better prognosis than patients with diploidy in those younger than 18 months. Among those older than 18 months, patients with differentiating tumors fared much better than patients with undifferentiated and poorly differentiated tumors.

Significant prognostic factors determined at diagnosis for postrelapse survival include the following:[8]

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Age.

INSS stage.

MYCN status.

Time from diagnosis to first relapse.

LDH level, ploidy, and histological grade of tumor differentiation (to a lesser extent).

The Children’s Oncology Group (COG) experience with recurrence in patients with low-risk and intermediate-risk neuroblastoma showed that most patients can be salvaged. The COG reported a 3-year event free survival (EFS) rate of 88% and an OS rate of 96% in intermediate-risk patients and a 5-year EFS rate of 89% and OS rate of 97% in low-risk patients.[16,17] Moreover, in most patients originally diagnosed with low-risk or intermediate-risk disease, local recurrence or recurrence in the 4S pattern may be treated successfully with observation alone, surgery alone, or with moderate-dose chemotherapy, without myeloablative therapy and stem cell transplant.

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The OS after recurrence in children presenting with high-risk neuroblastoma is generally extremely poor. However, such patients at first relapse after complete remission or minimal residual disease (MRD) in whom relapse was a single site of soft tissue mass (a few children also had bone marrow or bone disease at relapse) had a 5-year OS rate of 35% in one single-institution study. All patients underwent surgical resection of the soft tissue disease. MYCN amplification and multifocal soft tissue disease were associated with a worse postprogression survival.[18] Older children with local recurrence, with either unfavorable International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification at diagnosis or MYCN gene amplification, have a poor prognosis and may be treated with surgery or aggressive combination chemotherapy, or they may be offered entry into a clinical trial.

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Table 7 summarizes the treatment options for recurrent neuroblastoma by INSS-based risk group.

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Table 7. Treatment Options for Recurrent Neuroblastoma
COG Risk-Group AssignmentTreatment Options
COG = Children's Oncology Group; 131I-MIBG = iodine I 131-metaiodobenzylguanidine.
Locoregional recurrence in patients initially classified as low riskSurgery followed by observation or chemotherapy.
Chemotherapy that may be followed by surgery.
Metastatic recurrence in patients initially classified as low riskObservation (if metastatic disease is in a 4S pattern in an infant).
Chemotherapy.
Surgery followed by chemotherapy.
Locoregional recurrence in patients initially classified as intermediate riskSurgery (complete resection).
Surgery (incomplete resection) followed by chemotherapy.
Radiation therapy (only for patients with disease progression after chemotherapy and second-look surgery).
Metastatic recurrence in patients initially classified as intermediate riskHigh-risk therapy.
Recurrence in patients initially classified as high riskChemotherapy combined with immunotherapy.
131I-MIBG alone, in combination with other therapy, followed by stem cell rescue.
Novel therapies, including ALK inhibitors for those patients with ALK variants.
Chemotherapy.
Immunotherapy.
Recurrence in the central nervous systemSurgery and radiation therapy.
Chemotherapy in combination with surgery and radiation therapy.
Novel therapeutic approaches.
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