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NCT02576509 · OUTCOME

Efficacy Based on PD-L1 Expression - OS and PFS

An Investigational Immuno-therapy Study of Nivolumab Compared to Sorafenib as a First Treatment in Patients With Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma · Source last updated 2025-02-17

Results reported by the registry submitting party. Population, time horizon, units and missing values must be read together.

Measure
MEDIAN
Unit
Months
Interval / dispersion
95% Confidence Interval
Time frame
the date of randomization and the date of first objectively documented progression or the date of subsequent anti-cancer therapy, whichever occurs first, assessed up to May 2019 (approximately 40 months)

What was measured

PD-L1 expression is defined as the percent of tumor cell membrane staining in a minimum of 100 evaluable tumor cells per Dako PD-L1 IHC assay unless otherwise specified. This is referred as quantifiable PD-L1 expression. If the PD-L1 staining could not be quantified, it is further classifies as: Indeterminate: Tumor cell membrane staining hampered for reasons attributed to the biology of the tumor biopsy specimen and not because of improper sample preparation or handling. Not evaluable: Tumor biopsy specimen was not optimally collected or prepared (e.g. PD-L1 expression is neither quantifiable nor indeterminate). PD-L1 status is a dichotomized variable using an X% cut-off for quantifiable PD-L1 expression: * PD-L1 \> X %: ≥ X % PD-L1 expression * PD-L1 \< X %: \< X % PD-L1 expression where X% denotes the PD-L1 expression cut-off of 1%. Additional cut off values may also be explored. Confidence interval based on the Clopper and Pearson method.

Analysis population: all randomized participants with a \>=1% PD-L1 expression all randomized participants with a \<1% PD-L1 expression all randomized participants without PD-L1 quantifiable

Groups in this outcome

Nivolumab 240 mg

Nivolumab 240 mg intravenously (IV) every 2 weeks until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity

Sorafenib 400 mg

Sorafenib 400 mg orally (PO) twice a day (BID) until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity

Group identifiers and denominators belong to this outcome only. They may differ in another outcome or in safety reporting.

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg371
Sorafenib 400 mg372

Reported measurements

>=1%, OS

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg71
Sorafenib 400 mg64
Values in Months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Nivolumab 240 mg16.07Not reported8.4122.34Not reported
Sorafenib 400 mg8.62Not reported5.7216.30Not reported
>=1%, PFS

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg71
Sorafenib 400 mg64
Values in Months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Nivolumab 240 mg3.84Not reported2.107.62Not reported
Sorafenib 400 mg3.58Not reported1.975.36Not reported
<1%, OS

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg295
Sorafenib 400 mg300
Values in Months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Nivolumab 240 mg16.72Not reported13.9318.56Not reported
Sorafenib 400 mg15.24Not reported12.5818.10Not reported
<1%, PFS

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg295
Sorafenib 400 mg300
Values in Months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Nivolumab 240 mg3.61Not reported2.433.81Not reported
Sorafenib 400 mg3.75Not reported3.715.32Not reported
without PD-L1 quantifiable, OS

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg5
Sorafenib 400 mg8
Values in Months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Nivolumab 240 mg16.23Not reported5.82NAUpper limit cannot be estimated based on the data
Sorafenib 400 mg22.05Not reported1.77NAUpper limit cannot be estimated based on the data
without PD-L1 quantifiable, PFS

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Nivolumab 240 mg5
Sorafenib 400 mg8
Values in Months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Nivolumab 240 mg2.00Not reported1.87NAUpper limit cannot be estimated based on the data
Sorafenib 400 mg6.13Not reported1.0811.17Not reported

Source statistical analyses

Group order, estimate direction, methods and comments are retained. No treatment ranking is inferred.

  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.54
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.19
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \>= 1%, OS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.80
  2. ci Lower Limit
    0.48
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.03
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \>=1%, PFS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.71
  3. ci Lower Limit
    0.69
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.02
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \<1%, OS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.84
  4. ci Lower Limit
    0.81
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.17
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \<1%, PFS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.98
  5. ci Lower Limit
    0.34
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    4.74
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    without PD-L1 quantifiable, OS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    1.26
  6. ci Lower Limit
    0.27
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    3.52
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    without PD-L1 quantifiable, PFS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.98
Complete source fields
analyses
  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.54
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.19
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \>= 1%, OS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.80
  2. ci Lower Limit
    0.48
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.03
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \>=1%, PFS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.71
  3. ci Lower Limit
    0.69
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.02
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \<1%, OS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.84
  4. ci Lower Limit
    0.81
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.17
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    PD-L1 \<1%, PFS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.98
  5. ci Lower Limit
    0.34
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    4.74
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    without PD-L1 quantifiable, OS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    1.26
  6. ci Lower Limit
    0.27
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    3.52
    estimate Comment
    Nivolumab over Sorafenib
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    without PD-L1 quantifiable, PFS; no test was performed
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.98
classes
  1. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        8.41
        upper Limit
        22.34
        value
        16.07
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        5.72
        upper Limit
        16.30
        value
        8.62
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        71
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        64
      units
      Participants
    title
    >=1%, OS
  2. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        2.10
        upper Limit
        7.62
        value
        3.84
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        1.97
        upper Limit
        5.36
        value
        3.58
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        71
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        64
      units
      Participants
    title
    >=1%, PFS
  3. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        13.93
        upper Limit
        18.56
        value
        16.72
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        12.58
        upper Limit
        18.10
        value
        15.24
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        295
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        300
      units
      Participants
    title
    <1%, OS
  4. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        2.43
        upper Limit
        3.81
        value
        3.61
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        3.71
        upper Limit
        5.32
        value
        3.75
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        295
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        300
      units
      Participants
    title
    <1%, PFS
  5. categories
    1. measurements
      1. comment
        Upper limit cannot be estimated based on the data
        group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        5.82
        upper Limit
        NA
        value
        16.23
      2. comment
        Upper limit cannot be estimated based on the data
        group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        1.77
        upper Limit
        NA
        value
        22.05
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        5
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        8
      units
      Participants
    title
    without PD-L1 quantifiable, OS
  6. categories
    1. measurements
      1. comment
        Upper limit cannot be estimated based on the data
        group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        1.87
        upper Limit
        NA
        value
        2.00
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        1.08
        upper Limit
        11.17
        value
        6.13
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        5
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        8
      units
      Participants
    title
    without PD-L1 quantifiable, PFS
denoms
  1. counts
    1. group Id
      OG000
      value
      371
    2. group Id
      OG001
      value
      372
    units
    Participants
description
PD-L1 expression is defined as the percent of tumor cell membrane staining in a minimum of 100 evaluable tumor cells per Dako PD-L1 IHC assay unless otherwise specified. This is referred as quantifiable PD-L1 expression. If the PD-L1 staining could not be quantified, it is further classifies as: Indeterminate: Tumor cell membrane staining hampered for reasons attributed to the biology of the tumor biopsy specimen and not because of improper sample preparation or handling. Not evaluable: Tumor biopsy specimen was not optimally collected or prepared (e.g. PD-L1 expression is neither quantifiable nor indeterminate). PD-L1 status is a dichotomized variable using an X% cut-off for quantifiable PD-L1 expression: * PD-L1 \> X %: ≥ X % PD-L1 expression * PD-L1 \< X %: \< X % PD-L1 expression where X% denotes the PD-L1 expression cut-off of 1%. Additional cut off values may also be explored. Confidence interval based on the Clopper and Pearson method.
dispersion Type
95% Confidence Interval
groups
  1. description
    Nivolumab 240 mg intravenously (IV) every 2 weeks until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity
    id
    OG000
    title
    Nivolumab 240 mg
  2. description
    Sorafenib 400 mg orally (PO) twice a day (BID) until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity
    id
    OG001
    title
    Sorafenib 400 mg
param Type
MEDIAN
population Description
all randomized participants with a \>=1% PD-L1 expression all randomized participants with a \<1% PD-L1 expression all randomized participants without PD-L1 quantifiable
reporting Status
POSTED
time Frame
the date of randomization and the date of first objectively documented progression or the date of subsequent anti-cancer therapy, whichever occurs first, assessed up to May 2019 (approximately 40 months)
title
Efficacy Based on PD-L1 Expression - OS and PFS
type
SECONDARY
unit Of Measure
Months

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Preserved source evidence · Not medical advice