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NCT01507428 · OUTCOME

FDG ΔMTV From Baseline to the During-treatment FDG PET/CT, to Predict Lung Cancer Cause-specific Survival and Optimal Threshold (ECOG-ACRIN)

Positron Emission Tomography and Computed Tomography in Guiding Radiation Therapy for Stage III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer · Source last updated 2026-04-21

Results reported by the registry submitting party. Population, time horizon, units and missing values must be read together.

Measure
MEAN
Unit
percent change
Interval / dispersion
Standard Deviation
Time frame
Baseline to up to 5 years

What was measured

FDG ΔMTV, as measured from Baseline to the During-treatment FDG PET/CT, will be assessed in its ability to predict Lung Cancer Cause-specific Survival (LCCS) and an Optimal Threshold (OT) for differentiating responders from non-responders will be identified FDG ΔMTV defined as ((during-treatment measure - baseline measure)/baseline measure) x 100%) LCCS defined as NO Lung Cancer Cause-specific disease 5 years post registration (Responders) OT defined as the ΔMTV value corresponding to the maximum Youden index

Analysis population: Number analyzed represents the denominator for the estimated value The sum of rows = Overall Number of Participants Analyzed

Groups in this outcome

Both Arms

Patients undergo chemoradiotherapy as defined for the arm of the study to which they were randomized. 18F-Fluoromisonidazole: Undergo FMISO PET/CT prior to therapy for patients enrolling at institutions participating in the FMISO correlative study

Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)

Patients undergo standard radiotherapy QD 5 days a week for 30 fractions. Patients also receive paclitaxel IV over 1 hour and carboplatin IV over 30 minutes once weekly for 6 weeks. Patients undergo FMISO-PET imaging at baseline 18F-Fluoromisonidazole: Undergo FMISO PET/CT prior to therapy for patients enrolling at institutions participating in the FMISO correlative study Carboplatin: Given IV External Beam Radiation Therapy: Undergo radiotherapy

Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)

Patients undergo an individualized dose of image-guided radiotherapy QD 5 days a week for 30 fractions and undergo 18 F FDG-PET/CT between fractions 18 and 19. Based on the scan results, patients undergo individualized adaptive radiotherapy for the final 9 fractions. Patients also receive paclitaxel and carboplatin as in Arm I. 18F-Fluoromisonidazole: Participants enrolled at institutions participating in the FMISO correlative study undergo FMISO-PET prior to treatment Carboplatin: Given IV Computed Tomography: Undergo FDG PET/CT Computed Tomography: Undergo FMISO PET/CT (Correlative studies) Fludeoxyglucose F-18: Undergo FDG PET/CT Image-Guided Adaptive Radiation Therapy: Undergo individualized adaptive radiotherapy Laboratory Biomarker Analysis: Correlative studies Paclitaxel: Given IV Positron Emission Tomography: Undergo FDG PET/CT Positron Emission Tomography: Undergo FMISO PET/CT (Correlative studies)

Group identifiers and denominators belong to this outcome only. They may differ in another outcome or in safety reporting.

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Both Arms107
Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)36
Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)71

Reported measurements

Responder(No Event)

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Both Arms48
Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)16
Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)32
Values in percent change · Interval/dispersion: Standard Deviation
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Both Arms-33.5640.690Not reportedNot reportedNot reported
Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)-23.0242.364Not reportedNot reportedNot reported
Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)-38.8339.445Not reportedNot reportedNot reported
Non-Responder

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Both Arms59
Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)20
Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)39
Values in percent change · Interval/dispersion: Standard Deviation
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Both Arms67.91777.403Not reportedNot reportedNot reported
Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)-28.5535.595Not reportedNot reportedNot reported
Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)117.38956.240Not reportedNot reportedNot reported

Source statistical analyses

Group order, estimate direction, methods and comments are retained. No treatment ranking is inferred.

  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.4235
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    0.6471
    group Description
    Accuracy of ΔMTV to Predict LCCS at year 5 as measured by the Area under the ROC curve (AUC/c-statistic) and Optimal Threshold separating responders and non-responders as measured by the Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    non Inferiority Comment
    The AUC/C-statistic is a measure of discrimination between responders and non-responders
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    AUC
    param Value
    0.5353
  2. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    Maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    non Inferiority Comment
    Maximum Youden index is the point value corresponding tothe optimum threshold for distributional separation. Youden index (max( sensitivity + specificity-1)) over all ΔMTV
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Youdin index
    param Value
    0.1194
  3. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    The optimal ΔMTV threshold for discriminating Positive and Negative cases as determined by the value having the maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    non Inferiority Comment
    ΔMTV @ Max(Youden index)
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Optimal ΔMTV threshold
    param Value
    -46.7619
  4. ci Lower Limit
    0.3249
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    0.7251
    group Description
    Accuracy of ΔMTV to Predict LCCS at year 5 as measured by the Area under the ROC curve (AUC/c-statistic) and Optimal Threshold separating responders and non-responders as measured by the Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    The AUC/C-statistic is a measure of discrimination between responders and non-responders
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    AUC
    param Value
    0.5250
  5. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    Maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    Maximum Youden index is the point value corresponding tothe optimum threshold for distributional separation. Youden index (max( sensitivity + specificity-1)) over all ΔMTV
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Youdin index
    param Value
    0.2125
  6. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    The optimal ΔMTV threshold for discriminating Positive and Negative cases as determined by the value having the maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    ΔMTV @ Max(Youden index)
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Optimal ΔMTV threshold
    param Value
    3.9591
  7. ci Lower Limit
    0.4210
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    0.6944
    group Description
    Accuracy of ΔMTV to Predict LCCS at year 5 as measured by the Area under the ROC curve (AUC/c-statistic) and Optimal Threshold separating responders and non-responders as measured by the Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    The AUC/C-statistic is a measure of discrimination between responders and non-responders
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    AUC
    param Value
    0.5577
  8. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    Maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    Maximum Youden index is the point value corresponding tothe optimum threshold for distributional separation. Youden index (max( sensitivity + specificity-1)) over all ΔMTV
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Youdin index
    param Value
    0.1346
  9. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    The optimal ΔMTV threshold for discriminating Positive and Negative cases as determined by the value having the maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    ΔMTV @ Max(Youden index)
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Optimal ΔMTV threshold
    param Value
    -28.5320
Complete source fields
analyses
  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.4235
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    0.6471
    group Description
    Accuracy of ΔMTV to Predict LCCS at year 5 as measured by the Area under the ROC curve (AUC/c-statistic) and Optimal Threshold separating responders and non-responders as measured by the Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    non Inferiority Comment
    The AUC/C-statistic is a measure of discrimination between responders and non-responders
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    AUC
    param Value
    0.5353
  2. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    Maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    non Inferiority Comment
    Maximum Youden index is the point value corresponding tothe optimum threshold for distributional separation. Youden index (max( sensitivity + specificity-1)) over all ΔMTV
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Youdin index
    param Value
    0.1194
  3. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    The optimal ΔMTV threshold for discriminating Positive and Negative cases as determined by the value having the maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    non Inferiority Comment
    ΔMTV @ Max(Youden index)
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Optimal ΔMTV threshold
    param Value
    -46.7619
  4. ci Lower Limit
    0.3249
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    0.7251
    group Description
    Accuracy of ΔMTV to Predict LCCS at year 5 as measured by the Area under the ROC curve (AUC/c-statistic) and Optimal Threshold separating responders and non-responders as measured by the Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    The AUC/C-statistic is a measure of discrimination between responders and non-responders
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    AUC
    param Value
    0.5250
  5. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    Maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    Maximum Youden index is the point value corresponding tothe optimum threshold for distributional separation. Youden index (max( sensitivity + specificity-1)) over all ΔMTV
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Youdin index
    param Value
    0.2125
  6. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    The optimal ΔMTV threshold for discriminating Positive and Negative cases as determined by the value having the maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    non Inferiority Comment
    ΔMTV @ Max(Youden index)
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Optimal ΔMTV threshold
    param Value
    3.9591
  7. ci Lower Limit
    0.4210
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    0.6944
    group Description
    Accuracy of ΔMTV to Predict LCCS at year 5 as measured by the Area under the ROC curve (AUC/c-statistic) and Optimal Threshold separating responders and non-responders as measured by the Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    The AUC/C-statistic is a measure of discrimination between responders and non-responders
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    AUC
    param Value
    0.5577
  8. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    Maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    Maximum Youden index is the point value corresponding tothe optimum threshold for distributional separation. Youden index (max( sensitivity + specificity-1)) over all ΔMTV
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Youdin index
    param Value
    0.1346
  9. ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    group Description
    The optimal ΔMTV threshold for discriminating Positive and Negative cases as determined by the value having the maximum Youden index
    group Ids
    1. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    ΔMTV @ Max(Youden index)
    non Inferiority Type
    OTHER
    param Type
    Optimal ΔMTV threshold
    param Value
    -28.5320
classes
  1. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        spread
        40.690
        value
        -33.56
      2. group Id
        OG001
        spread
        42.364
        value
        -23.02
      3. group Id
        OG002
        spread
        39.445
        value
        -38.83
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        48
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        16
      3. group Id
        OG002
        value
        32
      units
      Participants
    title
    Responder(No Event)
  2. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        spread
        777.403
        value
        67.91
      2. group Id
        OG001
        spread
        35.595
        value
        -28.55
      3. group Id
        OG002
        spread
        956.240
        value
        117.38
    denoms
    1. counts
      1. group Id
        OG000
        value
        59
      2. group Id
        OG001
        value
        20
      3. group Id
        OG002
        value
        39
      units
      Participants
    title
    Non-Responder
denoms
  1. counts
    1. group Id
      OG000
      value
      107
    2. group Id
      OG001
      value
      36
    3. group Id
      OG002
      value
      71
    units
    Participants
description
FDG ΔMTV, as measured from Baseline to the During-treatment FDG PET/CT, will be assessed in its ability to predict Lung Cancer Cause-specific Survival (LCCS) and an Optimal Threshold (OT) for differentiating responders from non-responders will be identified FDG ΔMTV defined as ((during-treatment measure - baseline measure)/baseline measure) x 100%) LCCS defined as NO Lung Cancer Cause-specific disease 5 years post registration (Responders) OT defined as the ΔMTV value corresponding to the maximum Youden index
dispersion Type
Standard Deviation
groups
  1. description
    Patients undergo chemoradiotherapy as defined for the arm of the study to which they were randomized. 18F-Fluoromisonidazole: Undergo FMISO PET/CT prior to therapy for patients enrolling at institutions participating in the FMISO correlative study
    id
    OG000
    title
    Both Arms
  2. description
    Patients undergo standard radiotherapy QD 5 days a week for 30 fractions. Patients also receive paclitaxel IV over 1 hour and carboplatin IV over 30 minutes once weekly for 6 weeks. Patients undergo FMISO-PET imaging at baseline 18F-Fluoromisonidazole: Undergo FMISO PET/CT prior to therapy for patients enrolling at institutions participating in the FMISO correlative study Carboplatin: Given IV External Beam Radiation Therapy: Undergo radiotherapy
    id
    OG001
    title
    Arm I (Standard Chemoradiotherapy)
  3. description
    Patients undergo an individualized dose of image-guided radiotherapy QD 5 days a week for 30 fractions and undergo 18 F FDG-PET/CT between fractions 18 and 19. Based on the scan results, patients undergo individualized adaptive radiotherapy for the final 9 fractions. Patients also receive paclitaxel and carboplatin as in Arm I. 18F-Fluoromisonidazole: Participants enrolled at institutions participating in the FMISO correlative study undergo FMISO-PET prior to treatment Carboplatin: Given IV Computed Tomography: Undergo FDG PET/CT Computed Tomography: Undergo FMISO PET/CT (Correlative studies) Fludeoxyglucose F-18: Undergo FDG PET/CT Image-Guided Adaptive Radiation Therapy: Undergo individualized adaptive radiotherapy Laboratory Biomarker Analysis: Correlative studies Paclitaxel: Given IV Positron Emission Tomography: Undergo FDG PET/CT Positron Emission Tomography: Undergo FMISO PET/CT (Correlative studies)
    id
    OG002
    title
    Arm II (Experimental Chemoradiotherapy)
param Type
MEAN
population Description
Number analyzed represents the denominator for the estimated value The sum of rows = Overall Number of Participants Analyzed
reporting Status
POSTED
time Frame
Baseline to up to 5 years
title
FDG ΔMTV From Baseline to the During-treatment FDG PET/CT, to Predict Lung Cancer Cause-specific Survival and Optimal Threshold (ECOG-ACRIN)
type
SECONDARY
unit Of Measure
percent change

Download exact source JSON → · Snapshot ctgov-results-191f4516d4760045304b24a0

Preserved source evidence · Not medical advice