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NCT01196390 · OUTCOME

Disease-free Survival (DFS)

Radiation Therapy, Paclitaxel, and Carboplatin With or Without Trastuzumab in Treating Patients With Esophageal Cancer · Source last updated 2026-06-02

Results reported by the registry submitting party. Population, time horizon, units and missing values must be read together.

Measure
MEDIAN
Unit
months
Interval / dispersion
95% Confidence Interval
Time frame
From randomization to last follow-up. Maximum follow-up at time of analysis was 8.0 years.

What was measured

A disease event is defined as local/regional persistence or recurrence of the cancer under study, distant metastases, a new second primary cancer, or death due to any cause. Participants undergoing surgery who had an R2 resection and participants not undergoing surgery who had a positive endoscopic biopsy or no biopsy at all were considered to have local persistence of disease. Disease-free survival time is defined as time from randomization to the date of first disease event or last known follow-up (censored). Rates are estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Analysis was to occur after 162 events were reported.

Analysis population: Eligible randomized participants

Groups in this outcome

Chemoradiation and Trastuzumab (Arm 1)

Radiation therapy with concurrent trastuzumab, paclitaxel, and carboplatin followed by surgery followed by maintenance trastuzumab

Chemoradiation (Arm 2)

Radiation therapy with concurrent paclitaxel and carboplatin followed by surgery

Group identifiers and denominators belong to this outcome only. They may differ in another outcome or in safety reporting.

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Chemoradiation and Trastuzumab (Arm 1)98
Chemoradiation (Arm 2)96

Reported measurements

Source class 1
Values in months · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Chemoradiation and Trastuzumab (Arm 1)19.6Not reported13.526.2Not reported
Chemoradiation (Arm 2)14.2Not reported10.523.0Not reported

Source statistical analyses

Group order, estimate direction, methods and comments are retained. No treatment ranking is inferred.

  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.69
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.36
    estimate Comment
    Reference level = Chemoradiation arm
    group Description
    Assuming a median DFS time of 15 months (Arm 2), hypothesized increase in DFS corresponding to median DFS time of 25 months (Arm 1). Assuming an exponential distribution and constant hazards, 183 HER2-positive participants accrued over 5 years and followed for 3 years would result in 162 disease-free survival events and provide 90% statistical power to detect this difference with a 2-sided α of 0.05 and 2 interim analyses. See Limitations and Caveats section.
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Type
    SUPERIORITY
    p Value
    0.85
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.97
    statistical Comment
    Two-sided significance level = 0.05
    statistical Method
    Log Rank
Complete source fields
analyses
  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.69
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.36
    estimate Comment
    Reference level = Chemoradiation arm
    group Description
    Assuming a median DFS time of 15 months (Arm 2), hypothesized increase in DFS corresponding to median DFS time of 25 months (Arm 1). Assuming an exponential distribution and constant hazards, 183 HER2-positive participants accrued over 5 years and followed for 3 years would result in 162 disease-free survival events and provide 90% statistical power to detect this difference with a 2-sided α of 0.05 and 2 interim analyses. See Limitations and Caveats section.
    group Ids
    1. OG000
    2. OG001
    non Inferiority Type
    SUPERIORITY
    p Value
    0.85
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    0.97
    statistical Comment
    Two-sided significance level = 0.05
    statistical Method
    Log Rank
classes
  1. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        13.5
        upper Limit
        26.2
        value
        19.6
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        10.5
        upper Limit
        23.0
        value
        14.2
denoms
  1. counts
    1. group Id
      OG000
      value
      98
    2. group Id
      OG001
      value
      96
    units
    Participants
description
A disease event is defined as local/regional persistence or recurrence of the cancer under study, distant metastases, a new second primary cancer, or death due to any cause. Participants undergoing surgery who had an R2 resection and participants not undergoing surgery who had a positive endoscopic biopsy or no biopsy at all were considered to have local persistence of disease. Disease-free survival time is defined as time from randomization to the date of first disease event or last known follow-up (censored). Rates are estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Analysis was to occur after 162 events were reported.
dispersion Type
95% Confidence Interval
groups
  1. description
    Radiation therapy with concurrent trastuzumab, paclitaxel, and carboplatin followed by surgery followed by maintenance trastuzumab
    id
    OG000
    title
    Chemoradiation and Trastuzumab (Arm 1)
  2. description
    Radiation therapy with concurrent paclitaxel and carboplatin followed by surgery
    id
    OG001
    title
    Chemoradiation (Arm 2)
param Type
MEDIAN
population Description
Eligible randomized participants
reporting Status
POSTED
time Frame
From randomization to last follow-up. Maximum follow-up at time of analysis was 8.0 years.
title
Disease-free Survival (DFS)
type
PRIMARY
unit Of Measure
months

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