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NCT00310180 · OUTCOME

5-year Disease-free Survival

Hormone Therapy With or Without Combination Chemotherapy in Treating Women Who Have Undergone Surgery for Node-Negative Breast Cancer (The TAILORx Trial) · Source last updated 2026-09-08

Results reported by the registry submitting party. Population, time horizon, units and missing values must be read together.

Measure
NUMBER
Unit
percentage of participants
Interval / dispersion
95% Confidence Interval
Time frame
Assessed every 6 months within 5 years from registration and then annually up to 20 years, DFS rate estimated at 5 years

What was measured

Disease-free survival (DFS) is defined to be time from randomization to first event, where the first event is any of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence, local recurrence, regional recurrence, distant recurrence, contralateral second primary invasive cancer, second primary non-breast invasive cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin cancers), or death without evidence of recurrence. The distribution of DFS (eg, 5-year DFS rate) is estimated using Kaplan-Meier method, and compared between the two randomized arms (arm B vs. arm C) using stratified log rank test and stratified Cox proportional hazard model.

Analysis population: All eligible patients who had on-study data and follow-up data were included in the analysis

Groups in this outcome

Arm A

Group 1 (Oncotype DX recurrence score =\< 10): Patients in this group receive hormone therapy with tamoxifen, anastrozole, letrozole, or exemestane PO for up to 5 years. Some patients then continue to receive hormone therapy for an additional 5 years. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO

Arm B

Group 2 (Oncotype DX recurrence score 11-25): Patients receive hormone therapy with tamoxifen, anastrozole, letrozole, or exemestane PO for up to 5 years. Some patients then continue to receive hormone therapy for an additional 5 years. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO

Arm C

Group 2 (Oncotype DX recurrence score 11-25): Patients receive standard combination chemotherapy at the discretion of the treating physician. Within 4 weeks after the last dose of chemotherapy, patients receive hormonal therapy as in Group 1 at the discretion of the treating physician. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO Combination chemotherapy: including oral CMF, IV CMF, standard AC, dose dense AC, standard AC-T, dose dense AC-T, FEC, TAC, TC, other protocol-specified regimens if participating in other CTSU trials including chemotherapy, and other regimens not protocol-specified if not participating in CTSU trials

Arm D

Group 3 (Oncotype DX recurrence score \>= 26): Patients in this group receive combination chemotherapy followed by hormone therapy similar to the patients in Group 2 who are assigned to receive both types of treatment. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO Combination chemotherapy: including oral CMF, IV CMF, standard AC, dose dense AC, standard AC-T, dose dense AC-T, FEC, TAC, TC, other protocol-specified regimens if participating in other CTSU trials including chemotherapy, and other regimens not protocol-specified if not participating in CTSU trials

Group identifiers and denominators belong to this outcome only. They may differ in another outcome or in safety reporting.

Analysis denominator · Participants

GroupSource count
Arm A1619
Arm B3399
Arm C3312
Arm D1389

Reported measurements

Source class 1
Values in percentage of participants · Interval/dispersion: 95% Confidence Interval
GroupValueSpreadLowerUpperComment
Arm A94.0Not reported92.695.1Not reported
Arm B92.8Not reported91.893.6Not reported
Arm C93.1Not reported92.193.9Not reported
Arm D87.6Not reported85.589.4Not reported

Source statistical analyses

Group order, estimate direction, methods and comments are retained. No treatment ranking is inferred.

  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.94
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.24
    group Description
    This study uses a noninferiority design, but the noninferiority question is formulated using the conventional superiority null hypothesis of equal DFS on the two arms (that is, the null hypothesis is that Arm B is not inferior to Arm C). The alternative hypothesis is that Arm B has substantially worse DFS than Arm C, specified by a hazard ratio for B vs. C of 1.322.
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    2. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    Since the noninferiority comparison is formulated using a conventional superiority null hypothesis described as above, a type II error corresponds to concluding that Arm B is not inferior when in fact it is. The design therefore uses a one-sided type I error of 10% and is planned to have 95% power (5% type II error). If the null hypothesis is rejected (at the one-sided 10% level), then it will be concluded that endocrine therapy alone is inferior to chemoendocrine therapy.
    non Inferiority Type
    SUPERIORITY
    p Value
    0.13
    p Value Comment
    One-sided p value for stratified Cox proportional hazard analysis, stratified on recurrence score, tumor size and menopausal status.
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    1.08
    statistical Method
    Regression, Cox
Complete source fields
analyses
  1. ci Lower Limit
    0.94
    ci Num Sides
    TWO_SIDED
    ci Pct Value
    95
    ci Upper Limit
    1.24
    group Description
    This study uses a noninferiority design, but the noninferiority question is formulated using the conventional superiority null hypothesis of equal DFS on the two arms (that is, the null hypothesis is that Arm B is not inferior to Arm C). The alternative hypothesis is that Arm B has substantially worse DFS than Arm C, specified by a hazard ratio for B vs. C of 1.322.
    group Ids
    1. OG001
    2. OG002
    non Inferiority Comment
    Since the noninferiority comparison is formulated using a conventional superiority null hypothesis described as above, a type II error corresponds to concluding that Arm B is not inferior when in fact it is. The design therefore uses a one-sided type I error of 10% and is planned to have 95% power (5% type II error). If the null hypothesis is rejected (at the one-sided 10% level), then it will be concluded that endocrine therapy alone is inferior to chemoendocrine therapy.
    non Inferiority Type
    SUPERIORITY
    p Value
    0.13
    p Value Comment
    One-sided p value for stratified Cox proportional hazard analysis, stratified on recurrence score, tumor size and menopausal status.
    param Type
    Hazard Ratio (HR)
    param Value
    1.08
    statistical Method
    Regression, Cox
classes
  1. categories
    1. measurements
      1. group Id
        OG000
        lower Limit
        92.6
        upper Limit
        95.1
        value
        94.0
      2. group Id
        OG001
        lower Limit
        91.8
        upper Limit
        93.6
        value
        92.8
      3. group Id
        OG002
        lower Limit
        92.1
        upper Limit
        93.9
        value
        93.1
      4. group Id
        OG003
        lower Limit
        85.5
        upper Limit
        89.4
        value
        87.6
denoms
  1. counts
    1. group Id
      OG000
      value
      1619
    2. group Id
      OG001
      value
      3399
    3. group Id
      OG002
      value
      3312
    4. group Id
      OG003
      value
      1389
    units
    Participants
description
Disease-free survival (DFS) is defined to be time from randomization to first event, where the first event is any of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence, local recurrence, regional recurrence, distant recurrence, contralateral second primary invasive cancer, second primary non-breast invasive cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin cancers), or death without evidence of recurrence. The distribution of DFS (eg, 5-year DFS rate) is estimated using Kaplan-Meier method, and compared between the two randomized arms (arm B vs. arm C) using stratified log rank test and stratified Cox proportional hazard model.
dispersion Type
95% Confidence Interval
groups
  1. description
    Group 1 (Oncotype DX recurrence score =\< 10): Patients in this group receive hormone therapy with tamoxifen, anastrozole, letrozole, or exemestane PO for up to 5 years. Some patients then continue to receive hormone therapy for an additional 5 years. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO
    id
    OG000
    title
    Arm A
  2. description
    Group 2 (Oncotype DX recurrence score 11-25): Patients receive hormone therapy with tamoxifen, anastrozole, letrozole, or exemestane PO for up to 5 years. Some patients then continue to receive hormone therapy for an additional 5 years. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO
    id
    OG001
    title
    Arm B
  3. description
    Group 2 (Oncotype DX recurrence score 11-25): Patients receive standard combination chemotherapy at the discretion of the treating physician. Within 4 weeks after the last dose of chemotherapy, patients receive hormonal therapy as in Group 1 at the discretion of the treating physician. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO Combination chemotherapy: including oral CMF, IV CMF, standard AC, dose dense AC, standard AC-T, dose dense AC-T, FEC, TAC, TC, other protocol-specified regimens if participating in other CTSU trials including chemotherapy, and other regimens not protocol-specified if not participating in CTSU trials
    id
    OG002
    title
    Arm C
  4. description
    Group 3 (Oncotype DX recurrence score \>= 26): Patients in this group receive combination chemotherapy followed by hormone therapy similar to the patients in Group 2 who are assigned to receive both types of treatment. Anastrozole: Given PO Exemestane: Given PO Letrozole: Given PO Tamoxifen: Given PO Combination chemotherapy: including oral CMF, IV CMF, standard AC, dose dense AC, standard AC-T, dose dense AC-T, FEC, TAC, TC, other protocol-specified regimens if participating in other CTSU trials including chemotherapy, and other regimens not protocol-specified if not participating in CTSU trials
    id
    OG003
    title
    Arm D
param Type
NUMBER
population Description
All eligible patients who had on-study data and follow-up data were included in the analysis
reporting Status
POSTED
time Frame
Assessed every 6 months within 5 years from registration and then annually up to 20 years, DFS rate estimated at 5 years
title
5-year Disease-free Survival
type
PRIMARY
unit Of Measure
percentage of participants

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